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2026 Fantasy Outlook
Derrick Henry
RB · Ravens
Ravens
RB12 ADP
RB11
ADP (17 ovr)
238.4
Proj Half-PPR
281
Proj Carries
17 / 133
Proj Rec / Yds
Signal
Carry volume in the new scheme: 307 in 2025 against a projected 200-250 for 2026. The RB1/RB2 line sits near 275; below it touchdown regression bites, above it the age-32 cliff data becomes the binding risk.
Verdict: Watch the August padded practices for whether the June screen-game usage is real: if it sticks he has a PPR floor worth the RB12 tag, and if it disappears treat him as a touchdown-dependent RB2 and let someone else pay ADP.
2026 Fantasy Outlook
Saquon Barkley
RB · Eagles
Eagles
Reigning OPOY
RB8
ADP (14 ovr)
226.0
Proj Half-PPR
271
Proj Carries
35 / 265
Proj Rec / Yds
Signal
Does the outside zone cut the box counts? He saw 8-plus defenders on 33.1% of carries in 2025 and managed 2.3 YPC against them, and more play-action and under-center work pulls safeties out only if Hurts embraces it.
Verdict: Track the preseason under-center rate; if Mannion commits to it the box counts fall and RB8 is a discount, but a shotgun-heavy install caps him closer to his 2025 line.
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